Russia's Strategic Commodities: Energy and Metals as Security Levers

Authors:

  • Leijonhielm Jan
  • Larsson Robert L

Publish date: 2004-01-01

Report number: FOI-R--1346--SE

Pages: 181

Written in: English

Abstract

This report aims to analyse Russia´s usage of its strategic commodies in a security policy context. For this purpose Russian production, consumption, reserves and exports etc. of five strategic commodities: oil, gas, aluminium, nickel and palladium, are assessed. These commodities have been chosen mainly for their importance in a supplyperspective for importing countries, but also for the Russian political leadership´s possibility to control commodity flows,directly or indirectly. The report holds the concept of dependence as of special importance, especially dependence on Russian commodities by CIS and European countries, primarily in a long-time perspective. This also encompasses a description of the political background to russian views on economic security and strategic reserves. The authors further attempt to analyse Russia´s possible manipulation of international commodity markets and thereafter proceed to investigate historically known examples of Russian use of strategic commodities in its relations to Georgia, Ukraine, estonia, Latvia, Lithuania and Moldova. the authors find that in all of these cases, russia has tried to use oil and gas as political levers, albeit with limited success, as far as is known. The report concludes, after discussing mental, political, economic and structural factors that Russia within every field analysed continuously strengthens its ability to use commodity policy as a security lever.