Variance of Outcomes Wargame

Authors:

  • Erik Nordstrand
  • Johan Elg

Publish date: 2021-01-21

Report number: FOI-R--5083--SE

Pages: 28

Written in: Swedish

Keywords:

  • game
  • wargame
  • uncertainity
  • planning
  • capability development
  • adjudication

Abstract

This report describes a method for sequence-of-event wargames where the aspect of uncertainty in combat-outcomes is described and handled. The gaming method is called VUS (Adjudicating variance of outcomes). Target audience are those who want to run sequence-of-event games, where the aspect of uncertainity in outcomes and its consequences is highlighted, at FOI or the Swedish Armed Forces.