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Northern European and Transatlantic Security

The Northern European and Transatlantic Security (NOTS) project studies the security and defence policies, military resources, capabilities, operations, exercises and preparedness of the Western countries.

Daniel Mihailescu/AFP. US Army personnel offload military equipment at the Mihail Kogalniceanu Air Base near Constanta in Romania on February 14, 2017

US Army personnel offload military equipment at the Mihail Kogalniceanu Air Base near Constanta in Romania on February 14, 2017 (AFP/Daniel Mihailescu)

About NOTS

Northern European and Transatlantic Security (NOTS) is a multi-annual project at FOI, which continuously follows the security and defence policy developments in the relevant countries and organisations. The main interest in our studies is the operational aspects of the security and defence policies, resources, military capabilities, operations, exercises and preparedness of the Western countries. The project also provides aggregate analyses of the military strategic development in northern Europe and of current events that affect the military conditions in the area. The project's main client is the Ministry of Defence.

NOTS analyses the security and defence policy development in:

  • Sweden’s neighbourhood (Denmark, Norway, Finland, Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, Poland and the Arctic),
  • the three major European powers (the United Kingdom, Germany and France),
  • the United States, including the Transatlantic link, as well as
  • EU, NATO and OSCE.

NOTS was created in 2015 on the basis of two previous projects focusing on security in Sweden’s neighbourhood (SIN) and Atlantic security and European crisis management (ASEK).

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The following experts work within NOTS:

Björn Ottosson is programme manager for NOTS and a Senior Researcher in FOI´s Department for International Security Policy, focusing primarily on U.S. foreign, security, and defence policy, and transatlantic relations. He holds a Ph.D. in political science, from Stockholm University, and has previously worked at Stockholm University, Södertörn University, and the Swedish Defence University.

Albin Aronsson is deputy programme manager for NOTS and a Researcher in FOI’s Department for International Security Policy. He focuses on politico-military issues in the United States and NATO. He has recently written about the current Trump administration, the US’s military focus on the Indo-Pacific, and NATO’s strategy for deterrence and defence, including NATO nuclear policy. Albin has previously served as an analyst at the Swedish Foreign Ministry’s Department for European Security Policy, worked at the Swedish Defence University, the UK Ministry of Defence’s think-tank Defence Futures (DCDC), and the Atlantic Council in Washington, D.C. Albin holds a bachelor’s degree in political science from Uppsala University, and a master’s degree in War studies from King’s College London.

Robert Dalsjö, Ph.D., is a Research Director in FOI’s Department for Strategy and Policy. He is a generalist in politico-military affairs, currently focusing on Russia’s war in Ukraine and its geopolitical implications, as well as on Sweden’s Nato accession and defence policies. He has previously worked on Russian A2/AD-capabilities, Baltic region security, threshold defence, arms control, naval issues, international operations, and Sweden's role during the Cold War. Robert has also served at the Ministry of Defence and the Swedish NATO delegation. He is an active reserve officer in the Armed Forces.

Alina Engström is a Researcher in FOI's Department for International Security Policy, focusing on Germany, Western Europe and European security. She has recently written about German security and defense policy, Germany’s military capabilities and engagement in the Indo-Pacific region, as well as EU security and defense policy. Alina has previously worked at the Swedish Institute of International Affairs (UI) and at the Swedish Ministry for Foreign Affairs. She holds a bachelor's degree in Political science from University of Hamburg and a double master’s degree in European governance from University of Konstanz and Utrecht University School of Governance.

Eva Hagström Frisell is a Deputy Research Director in FOI’s Department for International Security Policy, with European security and NATO as her expert areas. She has in recent years published on the security and defence policies of European states as well as military cooperation in Europe. Eva has previously served as an Analyst at the Ministry of Defence, Strategic Advisor to the Swedish Civil Contingencies Agency (MSB) and Secretary to the Swedish Defence Commission. She holds a master’s degree in peace and conflict studies from Uppsala University.

Niklas Granholm is Deputy Director of studies at FOI’s Department for Security Policy and Strategic Studies. He has been seconded to at the Swedish Foreign- and Defence Ministries, where he worked with European defence and security related issues. Fields of analysis and studies relate to geostrategic change in the Arctic, Nordic, Transatlantic and European security and defence policy, nuclear strategic development, peace support/crisis management operations and naval and maritime strategy. He is a fellow of the Royal Swedish Society for Naval Sciences, the Royal Swedish Academy of War studies and an Associate fellow of the Royal united Services Institute (RUSI) in London.

Carina Gunnarson is Associate Professor of Political Science and Senior Researcher at the Department for International Security Policy. Her research at FOI focuses on French foreign and security policy in Africa, Europe and the Indo-Pacific region. She is also an expert on organized crime. She has previously worked at Uppsala University, the Institute for Futures Studies, Ritsumeikan University in Kyoto, Linnaeus University, the Swedish Security Service and the Ministry for Foreign Affairs.

Jakob Gustafsson is an Analyst in FOI’s Department for International Security Policy. His main research areas are Northern European and transatlantic security and defence policy, with a particular focus on NATO and the Nordics. In recent years, he has analysed NATO’s evolving strategy for deterrence and defence, NATO’s strategic concept, and how the countries of the Baltic Sea region reacted to the first Trump administration. Previously, he has analysed NATO’s capability for reinforcement operations, the military capabilities of the Baltic states, and contributed to the Swedish Armed Forces’ work on strategic foresight.

Calle Håkansson holds a PhD in Political Science and is a researcher at the Swedish Defence Research Agency (FOI), within the Department for International Security Policy. His research primarily focuses on European security and defence policy, with a particular emphasis on the EU’s development in this field, defence industrial issues, and EU-NATO relations. Calle’s research has been published in leading academic journals and by renowned think tanks, including Journal of European Integration, European Security, Defence Studies, the European Council on Foreign Relations, and the French institute IRIS (Institut de relations internationales et stratégiques). He is also affiliated with the Swedish Institute of International Affairs (UI) as an associate researcher.

Emelie Moregård is a junior researcher at FOI’s unit for International Security Policy. Her main research area is European security and defence policy, with a particular focus on the United Kingdom and NATO. She holds a B.A. in Peace and Conflict Studies from Uppsala University and a M.A. in War Studies from the Swedish Defence University.

Krister Pallin is a Deputy Research Director in FOI’s Department for Strategy and Policy, with military doctrine, defence planning and command & control as his foremost areas of expertise. He has among other things long experience as an operations analyst within the Armed Forces and the Ministry of Defence. Krister has led several major projects within his expert areas and held various management positions within FOI. He is an active reserve officer in the Armed Forces.

Anna Savolainen is a Researcher in FOI’s Department for International Security Policy and a Doctoral Researcher in Political Science at the European University Institute. Her main research areas include Finland as well as security and defence policy and cooperation within and among the Nordic countries, the European Union, and NATO. Anna has a master’s degree in Peace and Conflict Studies from Uppsala University and previous experience of working within the EU and with EU projects. She has also taught and researched at the Swedish Defence University.

Emma Sjökvist is an Analyst in FOI's Department for Operational Support. Her research focuses on international military missions and European security policy.

Emelie Thorburn is a Researcher in FOI’s Department for Security Policy and Strategic Studies. Her main research area is European security and defence policy, with a focus on Central Europe. Her most recent work is on the Visegrad States and on Nordic defence cooperation. Emelie holds a master's degree in Politics and War from the Swedish Defence University.

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Last updated: 2025-06-23